Hollywood: A month ago I gave you the six mortal locks of the Best Picture category, movies destined to receive a nomination. I'm now ready to cut that down to the two films with a legitimate chance at victory, making me either 1) Ridiculously foolish or 2) Exceptionally brave. Maybe both. But unlike last year's depressing Avatar vs. Hurt Locker battle this one offers real intrigue, and so it deserves as much advanced bloggin' as we can give it. You ready?
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I think if the Oscars have really proved anything, it's that they're not always easy to predict. There've been a few times when a film has truly shocked people by winning, so it's always hard to say which way they'll go. I think the ones he had on his list are pretty solid, but narrowing it down to those 2 sound iffy to me.
I've never known or heard of a remake winning Best Picture nor even being nominated that I can think of. While I'm pretty sure the movie will be good and I do like the Coen Brothers, I seriously doubt True Grit will be taking home that prize. Wouldn't surprise me in fact if it wasn't even nominated.
As for 127 Hours, I seriously doubt that one too. Just don't see that being Best Picture material. Again, I'm sure it's a good movie and I definitely want to see it, but I don't think it's Best Picture material. Danny Boyle getting Best Director for it though? That could be very much likely indeed.
I think The King's Speech is the front-runner right now. The Social Network should be right up there as well. And I don't think you can exactly count out Inception either (at least as a nomination). Black Swan could manage to sneak in there as well. And we'll have to wait and see what The Fighter can do. As for Toy Story 3, I can see them possibly giving it a nomination (MAYBE, still only 2 animated films that have even been nominated), but I don't see it setting the milestone of being the first animated film to ever win the award.
I think Inception is a real contender here. The talk has been quiet, but people loved the movie and it was original. I think if it did win it will be a huge push for Oscar advertising and so on.
Other contenders like Charlie St Cloud and Them Bones should be nominated too. Just for purely having great film techniques.