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Movie Musings: The Best Picture Race Already Down to Two?

Hollywood: A month ago I gave you the six mortal locks of the Best Picture category, movies destined to receive a nomination. I'm now ready to cut that down to the two films with a legitimate chance at victory, making me either 1) Ridiculously foolish or 2) Exceptionally brave. Maybe both. But unlike last year's depressing Avatar vs. Hurt Locker battle this one offers real intrigue, and so it deserves as much advanced bloggin' as we can give it. You ready?

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darklordzor2237d ago

I think if the Oscars have really proved anything, it's that they're not always easy to predict. There've been a few times when a film has truly shocked people by winning, so it's always hard to say which way they'll go. I think the ones he had on his list are pretty solid, but narrowing it down to those 2 sound iffy to me.

Soldierone2237d ago

I think they are doing it on purpose to gain interest. They are the ones out there saying this film might win over another, get people interested and believing that film should win, then bam another one takes the cake. I mean Avatar was rumored to be winning...come on since when does a visual feast win anything?

JL2237d ago

I've never known or heard of a remake winning Best Picture nor even being nominated that I can think of. While I'm pretty sure the movie will be good and I do like the Coen Brothers, I seriously doubt True Grit will be taking home that prize. Wouldn't surprise me in fact if it wasn't even nominated.

As for 127 Hours, I seriously doubt that one too. Just don't see that being Best Picture material. Again, I'm sure it's a good movie and I definitely want to see it, but I don't think it's Best Picture material. Danny Boyle getting Best Director for it though? That could be very much likely indeed.

I think The King's Speech is the front-runner right now. The Social Network should be right up there as well. And I don't think you can exactly count out Inception either (at least as a nomination). Black Swan could manage to sneak in there as well. And we'll have to wait and see what The Fighter can do. As for Toy Story 3, I can see them possibly giving it a nomination (MAYBE, still only 2 animated films that have even been nominated), but I don't see it setting the milestone of being the first animated film to ever win the award.

darklordzor2237d ago

That's a good argument about True Grit (honestly forgot that was remake until you said that). I keep hearing 127 Hours mentioned for an oscar as well, but I don't see that one either. Maybe and actor's one, but not best picture.

For sure Social Network is going to be in there, and Black Swan, but I don't think the ones this guy has chosen are going to even get a nod.

Soldierone2237d ago

I think at least one will get a nod, they need some sort of popular movie in the list to gain interest.

JL2237d ago

I think your popularity nominees will be The Social Network and Inception. And I think both stand a good chance at getting the win even.

Soldierone2237d ago

See thats what Im saying. A remake isn't going to win, and the hopes are dim. Yet they will nominate it and pretend it will win just to get people to tune in and think their movie will win. Then after they can break headlines by saying it lost. Eventually one of those films will win just to prove me wong, then go back to the trend.

darklordzor2236d ago

I don't think they'll even nominate it. Well let's just wait until the thing is released and then maybe we'll have a better idea.

Soldierone2237d ago

I think Inception is a real contender here. The talk has been quiet, but people loved the movie and it was original. I think if it did win it will be a huge push for Oscar advertising and so on.

Other contenders like Charlie St Cloud and Them Bones should be nominated too. Just for purely having great film techniques.

JL2237d ago

Agreed. It's been quiet but I think Inception stands a definite chance. I'll be looking for them to start pushing that movie when we get closer to it all. My guess: They're just waiting for the DVD to drop and then you're going to see a big Oscar push from the studio for Inception leading up to the January announcement of the nominees.

Soldierone2237d ago

Is WB known for big pushes like that? They make alot of quality movies, and never really noticed them doing that in most cases. I am just curious. If anything Nolan will at least be a winner of best director.

JL2237d ago

Off the top of my head, I know they at least made a push for The Dark Knight. And I've seen LOTR pushes.

darklordzor2236d ago

Oh WB makes plenty of pushes. They promote the heck out of their films for the Oscar nominations. The thing with those pushes is that most of us never see or hear about them, because they're mostly done for the Oscar committee alone.

darklordzor2236d ago

For some reason, I myself had forgotten about Inception. Don't know how I let that one slip my mind, but I'm sure that will get a nod somewhere.